Snow day predictor for Manitoba
Snow-day forecasts for Manitoba, where wind and extreme cold matter as much as snowfall.
Check a place
Winnipeg, Manitoba
Updated Nov 5, 2026, 7:55 p.m.. Matched Winnipeg. Typical snow tolerance (snow points × 1). High cold sensitivity.
The morning decision window has passed in this time zone. Tomorrow is the score to watch.
School is probably on
Estimate only. Not a school-board announcement.
Pack your bag. This forecast does not suggest a closure.
Buses: 0% chance of a cancellation or delay. Higher confidence.
Biggest factor: nothing strong in the overnight window.
What should I do? Pack the school bag. Still check your board in the morning in case the buses are cancelled.
Advanced: adjust the forecast
Weather data: Open-Meteo. Postal codes use GeoNames forward-sortation centroids (CC BY 4.0); an unknown area falls back to OpenStreetMap Nominatim. This is an estimate, not a school-board announcement. Estimate only. Check your board.
Manitoba school divisions make their own winter calls. Winnipeg is the page we maintain in detail. The rest of the province is scored with the Manitoba default: a typical snow tolerance and high cold sensitivity, because a still, very cold morning is a familiar reason to cancel buses.
Wind is the other half. Open highways drift shut with less new snow than a sheltered city street. If the forecast shows strong gusts on top of even a thin cover, the wind factor moves the bus score. The rural setting adds more, for longer routes outside the Perimeter.
The Winnipeg School Division's site is linked from the city page. Other divisions serve neighbourhoods in and around the city. Confirm the division on the school's own site before you rely on a name you remember from a previous winter.
Cities
Places without their own page
These forecast points were checked and left unpublished. The hub search still scores them. A missing page is not a closure notice.
- Brandon. ERA5 snowfall 86.2 cm and January -13.6°C are too close to Winnipeg (89.2 cm, -14.2°C) to justify a separate page in the same province.
Related reading
Questions parents ask
Is there one Winnipeg snow-day announcement?
No. More than one division serves the capital region. A closure in one division is not a closure in the next. The predictor is a weather estimate for the location, not a division-by-division feed.
Why is cold weighted more heavily here than in Toronto?
The provincial default uses high cold sensitivity. Apparent temperatures at or below −30°C add more points, including a small extra on the bus score, because extreme cold is a routine operating problem on the Prairies.