Snow day predictor for Thompson
Thompson forecast point: 126.7 cm of snow a year and a January mean of -20.3°C in ERA5, 2014–2023.
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Thompson, Manitoba
Updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:18 p.m.. Matched Thompson. Typical snow tolerance (snow points × 1). High cold sensitivity.
The morning decision window has passed in this time zone. Tomorrow is the score to watch.
School is probably on
Pack your bag. This forecast does not suggest a closure.
Buses: 4% chance of a cancellation or delay. Higher confidence.
Biggest factor: nothing strong in the overnight window.
What should I do? Pack the school bag. Still check your board in the morning in case the buses are cancelled.
Advanced: adjust the forecast
Weather data: Open-Meteo. Postal codes use GeoNames forward-sortation centroids (CC BY 4.0); an unknown area falls back to OpenStreetMap Nominatim. This is an estimate, not a school-board announcement. Estimate only. Check your board.
Will school be closed tomorrow?
Votes on this Thompson page. One vote per device today. This is not a board decision.
- 0 · 0%No chance
- 0 · 0%Maybe
- 0 · 0%For sure
0 votes today.
Thompson combines a January mean of -20.3°C with an annual snow total of 126.7 cm. November is the largest month at 22.5 cm. Northern Manitoba is not the Winnipeg forecast point, where the cold is similar and the snow total is not this one. The nearest published point is Winnipeg at 89.2 cm.
November through March accounts for 80 cm of the 126.7 cm annual average at this point. Our model preload for this page is typical snow tolerance and high cold sensitivity. That setting is editorial. It is not a threshold published by a school board. The live score uses the hourly forecast, not the ten-year average. There is no centimetre rule on this page for closing schools in Thompson.
Snowfall at this forecast point
Open-Meteo ERA5, 2014–2023, at 55.74°N, 97.86°W. Annual snowfall averages 126.7 cm. January mean temperature is -20.3°C. The largest month is November at 22.5 cm. This is a reanalysis at our point, not an Environment and Climate Change Canada station normal, and it is not a closure rule. Source: Open-Meteo.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 9.2 | 18.1 | 14.9 | 8.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 22.1 | 22.5 | 13.2 |
We do not have a board page for every authority here. Use the official links and your school's site.
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Questions parents ask
How much snow does the Thompson forecast point record?
Open-Meteo’s ERA5 archive for 1 January 2014 through 31 December 2023 averages 126.7 cm of snow a year at 55.74°N, 97.86°W. The largest month in that average is November at 22.5 cm. This is a reanalysis at our forecast point, not an Environment and Climate Change Canada station normal, and it is not a closure threshold.
How cold is January at the Thompson forecast point?
The same ERA5 run puts the January mean temperature at -20.3°C. Our model preload for this page is typical snow tolerance and high cold sensitivity. That setting is editorial. It is not a threshold published by a school board. Cold on a dry morning is a different factor from snow, and the hourly forecast, not this average, is what the live score uses.
How does Thompson compare with a nearby forecast point?
Winnipeg, the nearest other point we publish, averages 89.2 cm a year and -14.2°C in January under the same ERA5 run.
Who decides whether schools close in Thompson?
This site does not have a school-board page that we have checked for Thompson. Closures are a local decision. Use the school’s own site. The percentage on this page is a weather estimate only.