Snow day predictor for Winnipeg
Snow-day forecast for Winnipeg, where wind chill and drifting snow both count.
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Winnipeg, Manitoba
Updated Nov 5, 2026, 9:19 p.m.. Matched Winnipeg. Typical snow tolerance (snow points × 1). High cold sensitivity.
The morning decision window has passed in this time zone. Tomorrow is the score to watch.
School is probably on
Estimate only. Not a school-board announcement.
Pack your bag. This forecast does not suggest a closure.
Buses: 0% chance of a cancellation or delay. Higher confidence.
Biggest factor: nothing strong in the overnight window.
What should I do? Pack the school bag. Still check your board in the morning in case the buses are cancelled.
Advanced: adjust the forecast
Weather data: Open-Meteo. Postal codes use GeoNames forward-sortation centroids (CC BY 4.0); an unknown area falls back to OpenStreetMap Nominatim. This is an estimate, not a school-board announcement. Estimate only. Check your board.
Will school be closed tomorrow?
Votes on this Winnipeg page. One vote per device today. This is not a board decision.
- 0 · 0%No chance
- 0 · 0%Maybe
- 0 · 0%For sure
No votes yet today.
Winnipeg combines cold that needs no snow to be dangerous with wind that drifts what snow there is. The profile is typical snow tolerance and high cold sensitivity. Gusts on top of even a few centimetres raise the bus score through the wind factor. The urban setting is the preload inside the city.
The Winnipeg School Division's site title identifies the division. It is not the only division in the capital region. A closure there is not a closure everywhere inside the Perimeter. This page will not pretend otherwise.
Snowfall at this forecast point
Open-Meteo ERA5, 2014–2023, at 49.90°N, 97.14°W. Annual snowfall averages 89.2 cm. January mean temperature is -14.2°C. The largest month is December at 17.7 cm. This is a reanalysis at our point, not an Environment and Climate Change Canada station normal, and it is not a closure rule. Source: Open-Meteo.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.4 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 13.7 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 8.8 | 14.5 | 17.7 |
We do not have a board page for every authority here. Use the official links and your school's site.
Official sites
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Questions parents ask
Which division is linked, and why only one?
Winnipeg School Division, because that homepage identifies itself. Other divisions need their own sites. We would rather omit a link than guess one.
Does the Perimeter Highway change the score?
Not as a line on a map. If you live outside the built-up area, set the route to rural. That is the lever this model actually has.
How much snow does the Winnipeg forecast point record?
Open-Meteo’s ERA5 archive for 1 January 2014 through 31 December 2023 averages 89.2 cm of snow a year at 49.90°N, 97.14°W. The largest month in that average is December at 17.7 cm. This is a reanalysis at our forecast point, not an Environment and Climate Change Canada station normal, and it is not a closure threshold.
How cold is January at the Winnipeg forecast point?
The same ERA5 run puts the January mean temperature at -14.2°C. Our model preload for this page is typical snow tolerance and high cold sensitivity. That setting is editorial. It is not a threshold published by a school board. Cold on a dry morning is a different factor from snow, and the hourly forecast, not this average, is what the live score uses.
How does Winnipeg compare with a nearby forecast point?
Thunder Bay, the nearest other point we publish, averages 150.2 cm a year and -11.3°C in January under the same ERA5 run.